Checks & Balances
Analysizing the Senate Districts and Starting to Name Names PDF Print E-mail
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Written by Administrator   
Wednesday, 22 February 2012 14:23

The old numbers of legislative districts are no longer relevant after the November election since the Judicial Redistricting Panel realigned the numbering system. Incumbent Republicans, in both the House and Senate, which have been paired together to a greater degree than have DFLers, may now have buyer’s remorse for not agreeing on a legislative map. The partisan divide has created too much distrust in the halls of the legislature and the two sides cannot even agree on which direction the sun rises, let alone something clearly in their own vested interests as an redistricting map.  

In the house the pairing are evenly split with twelve DFLers drawn into the same district and twelve Republicans drawn into the same district. There are three DFLers drawn into the same district as incumbent Republicans and there are fifteen open seats. Of the sixteen incumbent pairings in the senate eight are Republicans and four are DFLers, with the other four being intra-party pairings. There are eight open senate seats.

Senate Pairings

The new Senate District 05 places Sen. Tom Saxhaug (DFL-03, Grand Rapids) and freshman Sen. John Carlson (R-04, Bemidji) in the same district. There is no open seat in close proximity and Saxhaug has a clear advantage in his reelection campaign because he picks up Leech Lake Indian Reservations, which is a more Democratic leaning portion of Carlson’s district.

Both Saxhaug and Carlson are expected to seek reelection. In this instance, if this match-up occurs in November, we expect Saxhaug to prevail quite handily.   

Senate District 08 puts freshman Sen. Gretchen Hoffman (R-10, Vergas) and second term member Sen. Bill Ingebrigtsen (R-11, Alexandria) in the same district. The closest open seat is Senate District 09, but it is a long haul for either one. Ingebrigtsen has already stated his intention to run for reelection.

Senate District 09 (open seat) Former Sen. Dan Skogen (DFL-Hewitt) represented a portion of the Becker, Otter Tail, and Wadena portions old district. We understand he is considering running for either this seat or Senate District 08.

Senate District 12 (open seat) The western portion of the district, which includes the University of Minnesota Morris campus, is good for a DFL candidate, but the eastern portion in Stearns County heavily favors Republicans. Success in this district for either party will be dependent on which side turns out.    

Senate District 17 has Sen. Joe Gimse (R-13, Willmar) and Sen. Gary Kubly (DFL-20, Granite Falls) in the same district, not actually because Kubly is retiring. 2012 will be a sequel election between Gimse and Larry Rice (DFL) who lost by 2971 votes in 2010.

Senate District 20 (open seat) contains the cities of Northfield and New Prague. We understand former Sen. Kevin Dahl (DFL) will be seeking this seat. He is a school teacher and driving instructor at Northfield High School.

Senate District 23 has third term Sen. Julie Rosen (R-24, Fairmount) and freshman Sen. Al DeKruif (R-25, Madison Lake) in the same district. DeKruif, as a resident of Madison Lake, in Blue Earth County is the closet to the open seat, but he would need to move into LeSeur County. The DFL index is showing consistent improvement in this area each election.

Senate District 30 (open seat) is a good Republic district and the DFL will field a candidate, but will not likely be a targeted seat.  

Senate District 31 has both three term Sen. Michael Jungebauer (R-49, East Bethel) and freshman Sen. Michelle Benson (R-48, Ham Lake) placed in the same district. Neither Jungebauer nor Benson is likely to move, but the competitive advantage rests with Benson. The DFL candidate will likely be Peter Petrovich who lost to Jungebauer by 7,894.  

Senate District 39 now contains two term Sen. Ray Vandeveer (R-52, Forest Lake) and freshman Sen. Ted Lille (R-56, Lake Elmo).  Vandeveer is a former six term house member, who publically announced a diagnosis of multiple sclerosis prior to his last election.

Senate District 42 (open seat) includes the communities of Little Canada, New Brighton and Shoreview. This is a good DFL district and we understand Rep. Kate Knuth (DFL-50B, New Brighton) and Sen. Mary Jo McGuire (DFL-66, Falcon Heights) are both considering the prospect of seeking the seat since both have been redistricted in with fellow DFLers.

Senate District 50 (open seat) this district includes Richfield and Bloomington. Sen. Ken Kelash (DFL-63, Minneapolis) is seriously considering a move back to his hometown of Richfield to avoid a conflict with Sen. D. Scott Dibble (DFL-60, Minneapolis). The majority of this new district is from Dibble’s old district.

Senate District 53 (open seat) is a competitive DFL district in which we understand Rep. Nora Slawik (DFL-55B, Maplewood) is thinking about running in.

Senate District 66 is now the home to eight term Sen. John Marty (DFL-54, Roseville) and recently elected Sen. Mary Jo McGuire (DFL-66, Falcon Heights). It is doubtful McGuire would challenge in this district because the bulk of it is in Marty’s home city of Roseville.

 
2012 Legislative Maps (Including List of Incumbent Pairings) PDF Print E-mail
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Written by Administrator   
Tuesday, 21 February 2012 15:55

2012 Legislative Maps

The Government Information Service has done us a great service by showing pairings for incumbent legislators.

House pairings:

http://www.gis.leg.mn/redist2010/Legislative/L2012/reports/house/incumbents.pdf

Senate pairings:

http://www.gis.leg.mn/redist2010/Legislative/L2012/reports/senate/incumbents.pdf

Here is the Court ruling:

http://www.mncourts.gov/Documents/0/Public/Court_Information_Office/Redistricting2011Final/Final_Order_Adopting_A_Legislative_Redistricting_Plan.pdf

Here is the Legislative statewide map:

http://www.mncourts.gov/Documents/0/Public/Court_Information_Office/Redistricting2011Final/Minnesota_State_Legislative_Districts_Statewide.pdf

Here is the Legislative metropolitan map:

http://www.mncourts.gov/Documents/0/Public/Court_Information_Office/Redistricting2011Final/Minnesota_State_Legislative_Districts_Metropolitan_Area.pdf

Here is a map concentrated on regional center communities:

http://www.mncourts.gov/Documents/0/Public/Court_Information_Office/Redistricting2011Final/Minnesota_State_House_Districts_C.pdf

Here is a map continuing the concentration on regional centers:

http://www.mncourts.gov/Documents/0/Public/Court_Information_Office/Redistricting2011Final/Minnesota_State_House_Districts_2.pdf

 
The 2012 Maps are Out PDF Print E-mail
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Written by Administrator   
Tuesday, 21 February 2012 13:38

The three judge Redistricting panel appointed by the State Supreme Court has just released it maps for the Congressional and state Legislative Districts. The biggest surprise is the redistricting of
Congresswoman Betty McCollum (D-MN4) and Congresswoman Michele Bachmann (R-MN6) into the same district, but because federal Representatives are not required to live in their districts we expect Bachmann will move into the new 6th. That district is ideologically suited to her because it retains the more conservative elements of Benton, Sherburne, Stearns and Wright Counties.

Here is the ruling:

http://www.mncourts.gov/Documents/0/Public/Court_Information_Office/Redistricting2011Final/Final_Order_Adopting_A_Congressional_Redistricting_Plan.pdf

Interestingly, there now is a significant shift, which has been reinforced from the maps people had to consider only twenty years ago. The 1st, a portion of the 2nd and the 7th Congressional Districts made up an area referred to as the Republican L because it bordered the state on the western and southern sides making an L. Now this is the DFL L, because Congressman Tim Walz (D-MN1) and Congressman Collin Peterson (D-MN7) make up this composition.

There are some interesting items to look at from the offerings by the court; they have provided comparative maps from the previous districts so one can basically overlay the new map over the old.   

Here is the state wide map:

http://www.mncourts.gov/Documents/0/Public/Court_Information_Office/Redistricting2011Final/Minnesota_Congressional_Districts_Statewide.pdf

Here is the 2012-2002 comparison:

http://www.mncourts.gov/Documents/0/Public/Court_Information_Office/Redistricting2011Final/Minnesota_Congressional_Districts_2012_and_2002_Comparison.pdf   

Congressman John Kline (R-MN2) does get the opportunity to reconstitute the old Bill Frenzel (R) district in the 2nd and Congressman Erik Paulson (R-MN3) does have a more competitive district. Congressman Keith Ellison,(D-MN5) Has the most solid DFL district in the state and his reelection numbers should approach 70%, and Congressman Chip Craavak (R-MN8) will have a tough time during reelection because his district changed the least and was a DFL stronghold until Craavak beat Jim Oberstar in 2010.

Here is the Metropolitan area:

 http://www.mncourts.gov/Documents/0/Public/Court_Information_Office/Redistricting2011Final/Minnesota_Congressional_Districts_Metropolitan_Area.pdf

Here is the 2012-2002 comparison:

http://www.mncourts.gov/Documents/0/Public/Court_Information_Office/Redistricting2011Final/Minnesota_Congressional_Districts_2012_and_2002_Comparison_M.pdf

 
Campaign Literature Published at State Expense PDF Print E-mail
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Written by Administrator   
Tuesday, 14 February 2012 11:45

The Senate Republican Caucus has stepped over the line with the literature piece they provided caucus attendees on February 7th.  The reason this document changed from being an informational piece to becoming a campaign item is simply due to the last item on the page http://mnsrc.org. (We hyperlinked it to show you where it goes) Granted people would have to type it into their computers, but if you click on this link it will take you to the Senate Republican Caucus campaign site.

Here you are greeted with the following:

Dear Friends,

On behalf of the new Senate Republican Majority Caucus, I’d like to welcome you to our website. 2010 was an historic year for Minnesota Senate Republicans, and more importantly for the people of Minnesota who just want a good, responsible government to do what is best for them. Our candidates ran on a message of creating jobs and limiting the growth of government and on Election Day the people spoke loudly, some say “roared” and entrusted us with the opportunity to serve in the Majority of the Minnesota Senate. Senate Republicans take this responsibility very seriously and are committed to making Minnesota a better place live, work and raise our families for all citizens.

On January 4th, thirty-seven Republican Senators were sworn into the Minnesota Senate, including twenty-one freshmen. With a new outlook and a set of original ideas, we ran on a platform that innovative reform is essential to putting Minnesota back on the right track. Now as the Majority Senate Caucus, we know that we must create an entrepreneurial environment in our great state that allows people to take risks, create jobs and grow our economy for the benefit of all.

Our thirty-seven senators are up to that challenge!

We have hit the ground running.

This is only just the beginning. Please stay tuned for future announcements from the Senate Republican Caucus. In the meantime, please follow us on Facebook at www.facebook.com/mnsrc or Twitter at @mnsrc.

Sincerely,

Senate Majority Leader Amy Koch

Additionally, you can contribute to the MNSRC in its reelection and campaign efforts. This is clearly a violation of the firewall which is to exist between the legislative and campaign activity.

Ironically, when Michael Brodkorb led the Senate Republican Communications Department and was the Deputy Chair of the Republican Party nothing like this happened under his watch, but this is now added to the issues surrounding the new Communications Department head former House SPeaker Steve Sviggum.

Last Updated on Tuesday, 14 February 2012 11:54
 
No Photo Id Use Fingerprints PDF Print E-mail
News
Written by Administrator   
Tuesday, 14 February 2012 11:45

The fundamental argument opponents to Photo Id are making is everyone should have equal access to the ballot. Minnesota, a state with the most open and accessible system for voting, in spite of there being no evidence to the contrary, as shown negligible instances of voter fraud or illegal voting, but is a target for electoral change.

Because of the closeness of the last two statewide elections, Al Franken (D) for U.S. Senate 2008 and Mark Dayton (DFL) for Governor 2010, people interested in different outcomes are pushing for structural reform to our electoral system. They make the unfounded claim because people are not required to show any form of Photo Identification at the polls the system is rife with fraud and election manipulation must be occurring. Because there is not any evidence of this occurring doesn’t stop the claims. Truth cannot overcome irrationality.    

If we commence a system of showing an Id at the polls, then who actually votes the person or the Id? If it is the person, then there is no guarantee the Id is not fraudulent either. The only way to ensure the person voting is who they say they are is by a provision of something hard to manipulate. We suggest either a fingerprint or some type of DNA would be a serviceable answer.

People have argued you need a Photo Id to cash a check, but often this is not enough, banks require a thumbprint as well. So why don’t we shortcut the process and go right to a fingerprint. Granted, a fingerprint doesn’t show where a person resides, but if it is tied to the state’s public safety database election judges can learn where a person’s last residence is in the system.

This will mean we can have integrity in the system since people are by nature dishonest, which is what the call for Photo Id presumes.  

 
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